Mortgage and Real Estate Blog

MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES ARE GREAT TODAY. BUT WHAT ABOUT TOMORROW?

Let's face it, mortgage interest rates have been averaging in the low 5% range, and that is great for the real estate market. But do you know where mortgage interest rates come from and why they change?

Lenders don't just make up rates! Long-term interest rates are based on Mortgage Backed Securities, also known as Mortgage Bonds. As money flows in and out of the bond market, the bond "yield" changes and the corresponding interest rate goes up or down.

May people think the 10-year Treasury Note is the correct index to "follow rates" with. While this note usually trends in he same directs as Mortgage Bonds, it is not unusual to see them move in completely opposite diretions. Be careful not to work with a Loan Officer who has their eyes on the wrong indicators.

This is a bit simplistic, but you can look at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as a clearing house which "buys" loans from lenders based upon rules they make, then package those loans into Mortgage Bonds, which the public buys on the bond market.

With everything going on in the mortgage world, bond players ramped DOWN the purchase of Mortgage Backed Securities. If no one buys Mortgage Bonds, there is no money for Fannie and Freddie to buy loans from lenders. If lenders can't sell the notes, they run out of money, the supply dries up, and consumers can no longer get a mortgage loan.

With no confidence in the mortgage market, bond players simply stopped buying mortgage back securities, creating a huge liquidity problem in 2007 and 2008.

In order to calm, and ease the strain on the markets, the US Treasury Department started buying up to $1.25 trillion worth of Mortgage Backed Securities which would help keep money flowing to the mortgage markets. By spring 2009, the Treasury Department was buying 2/3rds of all mortgage bonds, which has kept 30-year fixed mortgage rates artificially low.

The overall mortgage bond market has started to improve, and confidence is starting to return because "new loans" are being written to more traditional safer and strictor guidelines. Traditional private sector bond players have started to again purchase mortgage bonds, which is good, as the money pledged by the Treasury to buy bonds in expected to run out over the next few months.

Once the Treasury Department stops buying bonds, all bets are off as to what interest rates will do. If the private market continues to increase their rate of buying bonds, interest rates should continue to stay low, or increase slightly. If the private-sector doesn't carry the load, expect to see mortgage interest rates climb.

While it is too early to know exactly what is going to happen, but if you are on the fence about buying a new home or refinancing an existing home, I'd suggest you take advantage of today's mortgage interest rates RIGHT NOW.

In this market it takes an extraordinary amount of energy to get a loan closed with new regulations, lenders changing their guidelines and rates shooting up and down.

Are you working with the right Loan Officer?

For most people, a home is the biggest investment they will ever make. However, few people do the research necessary to make a good buying decision. The home-purchase process is extremely confusing for most people. With a little bit of homework, and some advice from family and friends who have been through the process before, you can make this a little easier on yourself. There is no substitute for taking the time to educate yourself before you buy or refinance a house, which typically costs you 25% to 40% of your gross income!

By far, the #1 Mistake is choosing a lender simply because they are recommended by your Realtor, or using the Realtor's affiliated companies. While your real estate agent has basic mortgage knowledge, your Realtor is not a mortgage finance expert! They are trained & licensed to help you buy & sell homes. They are NOT trained in mortgage financing! They may not know what's the best loan for you. The Realtor only gets a commission when your house closes. As a result, the Realtor may refer you to a lender that is sure to close the loan, but not necessarily the lender that has favorable rates or fees. Also, many Realtors refer you to their friends in the loan business––who again may not be able to get the best loan for you. Even if the Realtor is very professional and looking out for your best interest, you should still do homework on your own.

WARNING: Be wary of "affiliated companies" (Example: XYZ Realty Company, XYZ Mortgage, and XYZ Title Company). Usually all in the same building, and all owned by the same people. Although it is very convenient to use the affiliated lender and title company across the hall, you typically PAY for that convenience with higher rates and fees than you could find elsewhere. Sometimes the Realtor makes it sound as if you have to use their affiliated companies. YOU DON'T.

A very large portion of my business comes from Realtors referring clients to us (and we appreciate it!) But if you are already approved with a lender, and your Realtor or Builder is now 'pushing', 'forcing' or speaking negatively about your choice while pushing hard for you to use their lender or title company, it almost always means you pay more! 

If your Realtor walked you across the hall to get approved with their in house lender, and you haven't gotten a SECOND OPINION, call me right now! You are entitled to a second opinion, even if you have already been pre-approved for your mortgage with them!

I recently took a loan away from a large local Real Estate Company that very aggressively twists their real estate agent's arms to get them to get you to use both their title company and mortgage company. I beat their mortgage company by $1500 in closing costs and 1/2% in interest rate. The title company I suggested using was cheaper by $400. Their purchase agreement VERBIAGE even goes as far as making is sound like your loan won't close if you use someone else.

We recommend shopping for a loan with at least 2 mortgage companies before you make a decision, maybe the one your Realtor suggested, and someone else! Remember to GET A GOOD FAITH ESTIMATE IN WRITING. There are countless stories of consumers who wind up paying higher rates or getting a loan program that was not right for them because they blindly followed their Realtor's mortgage advice.

Choosing a lender just because she/he has the lowest "quoted" rate or cost, or not getting a written good-faith estimate is also another major mistake. While interest rate is important, you have to look at the overall cost of your loan. Your largest financial transaction is too important to place in the hands of a rate quoter, or the high cost in-house lender across the hall.

This includes looking at the APR, the loan fees, as well as the discount and origination points. Some lenders include origination points in their quoted points, while other lenders add an origination point in addition to their quoted points. So when one lenders says 2 points they mean 2 points, whereas another lender means 2 points plus 1% origination. Click HERE for closing cost information.

The cost of the mortgage, however, cannot be your only criteria. There is no substitute for asking family and friends for referrals and for interviewing prospective mortgage companies. Learn how to Pick a Good Lender. You must also feel comfortable that the loan officer you are dealing with is committed to your best interests and will deliver what he/she promises. Often, the company that has the absolute lowest quoted rate (far from everyone else) may not be telling you something. It is hard to compare apples to apples, when someone is slipping you an orange. Your mortgage company is required to provide you with a written good-faith estimate of closing costs within 3 working days of receiving the application. When you do receive one from each lender, CHECK THEM CAREFULLY! All lenders have basically the same fees and costs for doing your loan. If one lender is significantly lower, chances are they are not telling you something up front. Check the other Good Faith Estimates to see what is missing.

Call me at (651) 552-3681. I will be happy to go over a competitors Good Faith Estimate with you. Also, be sure to read our article "Beware of the BAD, Good Faith Estimate.